Going just shared their good and bad travel predictions for 2024.
We ’re less than two weeks into 2024 , and already , the world of travel has already meet some major ups , down , andblowouts . But there ’s still so much more of this year left . We ca n’t predict every tress and change by reversal that awaits us , though permit ’s hope no more airplane threshold get sucked off 16,000 feet in the air . Thankfully , however , there are expert out there that have a good handgrip on what ’s likely to happen this class .
The experts over atGoing(formerly Scott ’s Cheap Flights ) just shared their predictions for 2024 with Thrillist — it ’s a fair mix of good and forged , and they even went so far as to tell us how confident they experience about each prediction . Let ’s start with the right news :
The intermediate price of aeroplane ticket is going to waver much less . In late years , the price graph for plane tickets has been dramatically dropping up and down . But Going predicts with 70 % confidence that airfare is n’t going to rise or fall more than 5 % in 2024 , compared to the monetary value at the end of 2023 . This corresponds withdata from Hopper , which anticipate that escape prices are n’t going to see dramatic monetary value jumps in 2024 .
lentamart/Shutterstock
air travel travel is proceed to break even more book . The 2023 vacation season sawa record number of gentle wind travelersand 846.2 million masses boarded a plane in the US in 2023 . endure predicts with 70 % self-assurance that these numbers pool will be beat in 2024 . They ’re emphatically on to something . When Thrillist speak withDOT Secretary Pete Buttigieglast workweek , he anticipated standardized increases in air travel .
Flight cancellations will be under 2 % for the year . Going is only 60 % confident with this prediction , which is fair . There ’s an other index that trouble is afoot , with the whole Alaska Airlines and Boeing debacle . But there ’s datum to support that flight cancellations will become increasingly rare . The 2023 vacation season control record low cancellation : Only 1.2 % of flights were canceled , according toDepartment of Transportationdata . Secretary Buttigieginformed us that getting cancellation lower is one of the DOT ’s top priorities for 2024 — so I ’d say 60 % confidence is low ball it .
Airlines will not be bringing back change fees . run low is blissfully 90 % sure-footed that shift fees for non - canonic economic system slate are truly a wretched nightmare from the past .
And here are the not - so - good predictions . Fortunately , there are fewer of these .
Multiple airlines are going to increase bag fees . Even though mychecked luggageoften comes back to looking like its been used as a soccer globe at a dusty building site , most airlines are going to continue to charge us for our baggage , and will even go so far as to boost up the cost . Going is 70 % surefooted that checked bag fees will carry on to rise . Want to feel worse about this tidings ? In 2008 , the starting price for checked bags on full - service airlines was $ 15 . Right now , the monetary standard is $ 30 . In 2024 , expect it to increase to $ 35 .
Another major US airline will undervalue its frequent aviator mil . AfterDelta changed its miles programin 2023 , there was immediate backlash . But , even after the airlinewalked backsome of its more extreme change , the SkyMiles still were n’t as good as it was pre - alteration . go is 60 % positive that another major airline , probable American , is going to postdate suit of clothes .
Looking for more travel tips?
Whether you postulate helpsneaking weed onto a plane , finding an airport where you cansign up for PreCheck without an appointment , or making sure you ’re getting everything you ’re gentle towhen your flight of stairs is delete , we ’ve got you cover . Keep reading forup - to - engagement travel hacksandall the traveling word you needto help you plan your next big escapade .
